“Even though cash flow issues eased off in July, small business owners still aren’t feeling any positive effects from anything going on in the bigger economy,” said Ryan Scully, director of Discover’s business card, who commissions the monthly research. “They’ll be holding back their economic enthusiasm until they have tangible evidence that their bottom lines are improving.”
Although it wasn’t part of the confidence index calculation, an additional question in July revealed that 75 percent of small business owners believe it is likely or highly likely that the economy will slip into another recession before it fully recovers, with 15 percent believing another recession is not very likely to happen and 10 percent feeling unsure.
Other July Confidence Indicators:
- 57 percent of small business owners said the economy is getting worse, up from 51 percent in June; 27 percent think the economy is getting better; 14 percent think it is the same; and 3 percent are not sure.
- 45 percent of small business owners report economic conditions for their businesses were worse in July, up from 43 percent in June; while
30 percent of respondents said conditions were better; 22 percent reported conditions were the same and 3 percent weren’t sure.
- In July, temporary cash flow issues declined as 49 percent of small business owners reported that their businesses did not encounter any temporary cash flow issues that caused them to hold off on paying some bills in the past 90 days, up from 45 percent in June; 47 percent did encounter cash flow issues, down from 51 percent the prior month.
- 28 percent of small business owners reported they will increase spending on business development over the next six months, up from 25 percent in June and the most since September 2008.
Small Business Owners Have Higher Disapproval Ratings for Obama, Congress
Sixty percent of small business owners either somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of how President Obama has handled the economy, up from 52 percent in 2009; while 39 percent strongly or somewhat approve, down from 47 percent last July.
Consistent with previous polls, the Watch found small business owners remain unconvinced that Washington can be of any help: 68 percent reported that they are not very confident or not at all confident that the federal government and Congress can address their needs, up from 65 percent in 2009.
Record Number of Small Business Owners Taking Home Less Pay
Seventy-three percent of small business owners surveyed also report current economic conditions have caused them to take home less money in July, up from 69 percent in July 2009 and 55 percent in February 2008, when the Watch first posed this question.
Pricing has been adjusted by 37 percent of small business owners in the past six months to reflect higher costs, up from 35 percent in July 2009. Fifty-five percent of owners did not adjust pricing, down from 60 percent in 2009.
Fewer small business owners reported borrowing money to pay bills or applying for new credit cards, lines of credit or loans in July. This year, 27 percent reported borrowing money in the past six months to pay bills, down from 33 percent in July 2009, and 71 percent did not need to borrow money to pay bills, up from 65 percent last July. Only 10 percent of small business owners surveyed applied for new credit cards, lines of credit or loans over the past three months, down from 17 percent in 2009; 89 percent did not apply and 2 percent weren’t sure.
SBA Stimulus Loans Untapped by 97% of Small Business Owners
Ninety-seven percent of small business owners did not apply for stimulus funded SBA loans in the past year even though 50 percent were in favor of the expansion of an SBA loan program last year and 31 percent said they would consider applying for funds.
Despite so few small business owners taking advantage of the SBA program in the past year, 27 percent of small business owners said they would apply should more funding be made available in the next six months, while 65 percent would not apply and 8 percent weren’t sure.
